Mitt Romney's op-ed in today's Wall Street Journal is devoted to China policy. Let's take a read, shall we?
Barack Obama is moving in precisely the wrong direction [on responding to China's rise]. The shining accomplishment of the meetings in Washington this week with Xi Jinping—China's vice president and likely future leader—was empty pomp and ceremony.
President Obama came into office as a near supplicant to Beijing, almost begging it to continue buying American debt so as to finance his profligate spending here at home. His administration demurred from raising issues of human rights for fear it would compromise agreement on the global economic crisis or even "the global climate-change crisis." Such weakness has only encouraged Chinese assertiveness and made our allies question our staying power in East Asia.
Now, three years into his term, the president has belatedly responded with a much-ballyhooed "pivot" to Asia, a phrase that may prove to be as gimmicky and vacuous as his "reset" with Russia. The supposed pivot has been oversold and carries with it an unintended consequence: It has left our allies with the worrying impression that we left the region and might do so again.
The pivot is also vastly under-resourced. Despite his big talk about bolstering our military position in Asia, President Obama's actions will inevitably weaken it. He plans to cut back on naval shipbuilding, shrink our Air Force, and slash our ground forces. Because of his policies and failed leadership, our military is facing nearly $1 trillion in cuts over the next decade.
This is interesting because it's the first time I've seen a GOP candidate try to respond substantively to the "pivot". And, in my book, the criticism that Obama was too much of a supplicant to China in the first part of his term is actually a fair one. Unfortunately, things fall apart after that.
First, Asian allies were worried about the U.S. presence in the region because of the priority the Bush administration placed on the global war on terror, followed by the 2008 financial crisis. Obama had little or nothing to do with it.
Second, it's important and revealing that Romney only talked about the narrow, military part of the pivot. Left unmentioned were the diplomatic components (joining the East Asia Summit, interceding on the South China Sea, warming relations with Myanmar, tripartite between the U.S., Australia and India) as well as the economic components (ratifying the FTA with South Korea, signing the framework agreement for the Trans-Pacific Partnership). This is important, because any U.S. strategy in the Asia-Pacific region has to be a full-spectrum approach, while Romney seems peculiarly obsessed with shipbuilding.
Third, the primary message Obama has been sending to Xi has been saying that China "don't play by the rules." Which, coincidentally enough, is exactly the same thing Romney says in the op-ed.
In the economic arena, we must directly counter abusive Chinese practices in the areas of trade, intellectual property, and currency valuation. While I am prepared to work with Chinese leaders to ensure that our countries both benefit from trade, I will not continue an economic relationship that rewards China's cheating and penalizes American companies and workers.
Unless China changes its ways, on day one of my presidency I will designate it a currency manipulator and take appropriate counteraction. A trade war with China is the last thing I want, but I cannot tolerate our current trade surrender. (emphasis added)
The bolded section represents the only portion of the op-ed in which Romney even hints that he might cooperate with China. The rest of it is pretty silly. It's ludicrous for Romney to claim he doesn't want a trade war in the same breath that he promises "day one" action against China. No wonder conservatives are labeling Romney's China policy as "blaringly anti-trade."
To be blunt, this China policy reads like it was composed by the Hulk. Maybe this will work in the GOP primary, but Romney and his China advisors should know better.
I, Mitt Romney pledge to borrow billions of dollars from CHINA to spend on naval shipbuilding, Air Force and ground forces in Asia to protect Asians from .... CHINA ?????
(Because the Asians are too (F**KING ) busy,
pouring THEIR (F**KING ) money,
on making CARS (!!!)! to destroy DETROIT (and WINDSOR),
and don't have enough money, time or (F**KING ) inclination,
to organize to defend themselves!!!!!!!!!!)
MITT ... are you ... F**KING ... S**TING ... ME????????
As a Canadian, I don't mind Republican politicians driving the US off a cliff .... BUT YOU ARE GOING TO TAKE CANADA WITH YOU!!!!!!!!
Unless China changes its ways, on day one of my presidency I will designate it a currency manipulator and take appropriate counteraction.
Romney should be very careful about a statement like this.
More generally, American politicians seem to often be completely unaware that other countries might actually be reading/listening to their rhetoric.
No surprise, it is a current American political culture that candidates give a lot of lies publicly in the election, they promise, they pretend and etc. but what makes me surprise is that everyone seems enjoy the massive political lies and shows during the election but only a few criticize their lying. I really do not believe, so do others, that Romney will designate China as a currency manipulator on the day one of his presidency, but why he dare to say this publicly? Because most of us are accustomed the fact that it is an election culture to give massive lies and promises. It is not a matter of what they say is right or wrong, it is a matter that they can fulfill their promise seriously, or they just want to cheat the people? This is the real situation that the present American election was based on lies and pretending.
If there is anything that Romney says that I don't believe, it is his policy on China. Whatever the affect on the American working class, and whatever the long term effect of having American manufacturing move to China, the short term effect is great profit margins for American corporations. Does anyone really think Romney is going to do anything to negatively impact that?
Romney's claim to have created 100,000 new jobs is based mostly on the sales positions at Staples. And where does this pint-sized Walmart buys wholesale?
Until Romney says that Staples did not turn out the way he hoped, no one in China need lose a wink of sleep over a Romney Presidency.
What is a "near supplicant"...is that a SuppliCAN? Please advise.
What world does Romney live in??
I understand as a GOP candidate he has to saber-rattle as a matter of course, but not understanding the fundamental differences between as China and the former USSR to classic.
Building more ships is not going to make us any more safe. We have plenty - some might argue successfully that we have too many.
The ex Soviet Union was not one of our biggest trading partners nor did it have invested over $1.0 Trillions in govt bonds.
Romney also does not understand the reality that the US is not going to defend Taiwan if China wants to assert its sovereignty over Taiwan. Even your most liberal Chinese citizen views Taiwan as a part of China.
Regarding Human Rights in China, we as Americans are all for it, but the US does not have the power to do anything about this. China is too big, too stubborn and has 5,000 years of history to prove it. They also have a huge chip on their shoulder with regards outside countries telling them what to do in their own country. It is very ironic that Romney is mentioning Human Rights considering that most GOP administrations are pretty much silent on the issue because of the US Chamber of Commerce and their desire to make sure that trade between our two countries is not interrupted.
Granted Romney is just pulling from the GOP play book that states "attack Dems for not being Hawk enough". Given Obama's foreign policy successes, Romney sounds more like a "Chicken Hawk".
how much has romney made from china-related investments?
Mitt Romney should itemize all the China investments he currently holds or once held, directly or through any funds, Bain Capital or otherwise, and he should disclose how much he has made from them.
In A WSJ Op-Ed Mitt Romney Confronts The China Fantasy, Ignores His Own Hypocrisy? | Sinocism
http://www.sinocism.com/?p=3874
if you can't smash 'em make dumb jokes about its leader's name
FP won't get on board with smashing China—forget the fact we couldn't do it with vaporizing them with nukes—but FP will gladly turn loose its fabulous talent pool of intellectual excellence to come up with juvenile jests about China's future leader's name.
Now THAT is foreign policy!
What Power Do you Want to Project?
"This is important, because any U.S. strategy in the Asia-Pacific region has to be a full-spectrum approach, while Romney seems peculiarly obsessed with shipbuilding."
Professor Drezner, you're getting into a tiresome habit of setting up strawmen of the GOP nominees' arguments to knock down, and then using it to proclaim them stupid on foreign policy. While I find Romney's tough rhetoric on China unconvincing because I think he'd doing it purely for primary purposes, he has never stated he would not use all our instruments of power when dealing with China. I think he's smart enough (gasp--I know we are not supposed to call Republicans smart) to understand we need to be able to project power in the Pacific if we want a full spectrum approach to succeed.
If you don't like the direction of the GOP's foreign policy, just come clean and outline your opposition to it. I'm a conservative, but I'm tired of the neocon-ish tendencies to topple regimes/put a no-fly zone over every foreign policy problem. An idea that doesn't seem limited to the GOP lately, btw.
Romney will be helpless against entrenched business interests
Remember Bill Clinton’s characterization of ‘Butchers of Beijing’ in 1992 elections?
Now Romney’s transformation from China basher to China promoter may not come as fast as that of Bill Clinton’s did in 1993, Romney will find himself helpless against a superior power just as Clinton did.
Clinton was bombarded by American businesses to go soft on China in 1993.
Romney will find same businesses on his back in 2013 if he is elected.
American businesses have become too addicted to huge profits that cheap Chinese products generate for them, to allow anybody to stop this gravy train.
China has US tiger by the tail - US businesses are hooked to huge profits that cheap Chinese products generate for them as a walk through any Walmart, Home Depot, Sears and Macy’s filled with Chinese goods prove and US government is hooked to huge investments that China makes in US governmental securities from the sales of cheap Chinese products to US businesses.
One way trade between China and US will continue until……….dollar crashes. Great recession of 2008-2010 will then look like a picnic.
"Romney also does not understand the reality that the US is not going to defend Taiwan if China wants to assert its sovereignty over Taiwan. Even your most liberal Chinese citizen views Taiwan as a part of China."
There is no need to be vague.
There is no chance that the USA will interfere. This is because 1. the Chinese mainland will not use brute force and will not be the first to start a major war, 2 Taiwan's geographical vulnerability that dovetails with this threat without execution procedure to regain Taiwan, first as Hong Kong II.
One only has to look at the map to see how completely vulnerable and exposed taiwan's energy link is. This vulnerability will beg to be targeted, will very little force.
Will Taiwan first attack the mainland to break free, to re-establish business confidence by ensuring energy supply? This is the real question that can be answered at once Nope!
Reunification across the Taiwan Strait is inevitable. The USA cannot do any thing for Taiwan, as Taiwan will not articulate its choice, war or negotiation. The USA cannot impose its value on Taiwan, such is the truth and the crux, not the mainland attacking Taiwan.
"Romney also does not understand the reality that the US is not going to defend Taiwan if China wants to assert its sovereignty over Taiwan. Even your most liberal Chinese citizen views Taiwan as a part of China."
By the Time the Chinese mainland acts assertively on Taiwan, targeting the island's exposed energy link, Romney will be a very old man if he still lives.
The Taiwan issue will not be settle soon, as Taiwan still has residual resistance. The Chinese mainland will wait at least 15 years, likely 25.
Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.
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